Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers Week 11 NFL Picks
After one of their most impressive victories this season, last week over the Giants, many people consider the (8-1, Home: 4-1) San Francisco 49ers the second best team in the league. While their record would certainly indicate that, trailing only the undefeated (9-0) Packers in the standings, one cant help but wonder: are the Niners really as good as they seem to be right now?
While this may sound a little shocking: Sunday’s game against Arizona will be an excellent barometer of where this team is in relation to people’s perception. Yes, I do believe that this week’s game against the (3-6, Road: 1-4) Arizona Cardinals will be more telling than people expect it to be.
Candlestick Park in the East Bay will be the site for an NFC West divisional matchup, which is scheduled to kickoff at 4:05 PM ET on FOX.
Sure, the Cards come into this game tied for second place in the division, but in all honesty, they’re light-years away from catching the Niners. So, obviously, that’s not the reason why I see this game being as important as it is for Jim Harbaugh’s club. But, with everyone expecting San Fran to come out and handedly beat Arizona in the Bay, this game may be decided before it starts.
How often do we see less-talented teams beat their superior counterparts, more times than we can count, right? It’s truly hard for the average fan to comprehend how often this happens: how one team underestimating the other leads to stunning defeats in every single sport. And although the way Arizona and Frisco matchup against one another certainly favors the home team, you never know what’s going to happen between the lines.
That’s the reason why I feel that this will be an extremely crucial game for Harbaugh, from a psychological standpoint. Are his players really buying into all the hype this 8-1 start has created, or will they remain hungry to compete even against the teams they’re supposed to beat easily? Here’s where it doesn’t look good for the Cardinals, and believe me, this is something everyone in the Niners coaching staff knows very well:
Cardinals Offense NFL Rankings:
Total Yards: 318.9 typg (20th).
Passing Yards: 223.9 pypg (17th).
Rushing Yards: 95 rypg (26th).
Points Scored: 20.3 ppg (22nd).
49ers Defensive NFL Rankings:
Total Yards: 333.6 (11th).
Passing Yards: 260.3 (26th).
Rushing Yards: 73.2 (1st).
Points Allowed: 15.3 (1st).
Going into this game, the 49ers are expected to beat the Cards by a touchdown, a point after and a field goal: 10 points, that’s pretty much the spread for that game. Now, check out these cool trends regarding how each one of these clubs has performed Against The Spread!
Arizona ATS Trends:
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cardinals are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Cardinals are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games.
Cardinals are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC West.
San Francisco ATS Trends:
49ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
49ers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
49ers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
49ers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
49ers are 3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
49ers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
49ers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
49ers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
49ers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
49ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
49ers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
49ers are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC West.
49ers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
49ers are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games in November.
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